作为科学决策的重要前提,技术预测已越来越引起人们的极大重视,并成为世界上大多数国家制定科技政策和科技计划的常规基础,在确定科技方向与目标、选择优先发展领域与关键技术等一系列科技决策过程中发挥着十分重要的作用。日本是对技术预测最为重视的国家之一,2000年8月开始进行的第七次技术预测调查,时间跨度为30年(2001—2030年),调查范围从基础 As an important prerequisite for scientific decision-making, technology forecasting has drawn more and more people's attention. It has become the conventional basis for most countries in formulating science and technology policy and science and technology plan. In determining the direction and goal of science and technology, selecting the priority areas for development and the key Technology and a series of scientific and technological decision-making process plays a very important role. Japan is one of the countries that places the highest priority on technology forecasting. The 7th Technology Forecast Survey, which began in August 2000, lasted 30 years (2001-2030) and ranged from basic